Central Limit Theorem (CLT)

Lily Koffman

Department of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health

Learning objectives

  1. Describe how changing sample size impacts the distribution of the sample mean

  2. Explain how the Central Limit Theorem quantifies the uncertainty of a sample mean

Question: what is the average daily caffeine consumption among Americans?

How might we answer this question?

We could survey every single American

We could take a sample

Sample one person

Participant ID Age (years) Caffeine intake (mg)
134718 10 13

Add another person to sample and calculate average

Participant ID Age (years) Caffeine intake (mg) Sample mean (cumulative)
134718 10 13 13
132129 10 121 67

Add more people to sample

Participant ID Age (years) Caffeine intake (mg) Sample mean (cumulative)
134718 10 13 13
132129 10 121 67
132137 43 102 79
141998 52 144 95
133390 49 192 114
140734 6 4 96
136086 15 0 82
135573 70 202 97
135693 30 360 126
140558 59 0 114

Lily’s sample

Lily’s sample

What if someone else went out and sampled different people?

A different sample

A third sample